Kalkas

A call on the record · Horse racing

Will Arishka's Dream win the 15:51 at Wolverhampton (AW)? · 2 Oct 2026

The deadline has passed and the ledger holds no resolution yet. Nothing is scored until one is recorded.

horse:hrs_58196719 · racing.win

Awaiting the resultAll of this domain’s record

The question

Resolution rule
The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
About
horse:hrs_58196719
Question class
racing.win
Closes at
2026-10-02 14:51 UTC (Europe/London)
Resolved from
racing-results

The forecast

Probability of yes
8.6%
Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
Market at the time
8.6%
Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
Source
Market-implied probability
Known at
2026-10-02 07:00 UTC
Recorded at
2026-10-02 07:00 UTC
Forecaster
aggregate @ log_odds_pool
SHA-256 digest
sha256:ab5f6c130708807d84e8615268c8c4547fd77b30ebf91a400007e2137a02d942
Provenance
Committed by the engine before the event

The result

No result yet.

Every forecast recorded on this question

Every forecast recorded on this question
ForecasterKindProbabilityMarketKnown atStanding
aggregateaggregate8.6%8.6%2026-10-02 07:00 UTCAwaiting the result
racing-marketmarket8.6%8.6%2026-10-02 07:00 UTCAwaiting the result

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The record