Kalkas

A call on the record · Horse racing

Will Fortamour win the 14:40 at Pontefract? · 5 Oct 2026

This question has not resolved. The forecast is on the record now; the result and its score appear here after the event, and nothing is filled in before then.

horse:hrs_17485237 · racing.win

Not resolved yetAll of this domain’s record

The question

Resolution rule
The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
About
horse:hrs_17485237
Question class
racing.win
Closes at
2026-10-05 13:40 UTC (Europe/London)
Resolved from
racing-results

The forecast

Probability of yes
2.3%
Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
Market at the time
2.3%
Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
Source
Market-implied probability
Known at
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Recorded at
2026-10-05 08:20 UTC
Forecaster
aggregate @ log_odds_pool
SHA-256 digest
sha256:d8573c3bc2ad4049ef4b79468ad32b4ab33a570324fda57bd6b3e5c7ae86b7e7
Provenance
Committed by the engine before the event

The result

No result yet.

Every forecast recorded on this question

Every forecast recorded on this question
ForecasterKindProbabilityMarketKnown atStanding
aggregateaggregate2.3%2.3%2026-10-05 08:00 UTCAwaiting the result
racing-marketmarket2.3%2.3%2026-10-05 08:00 UTCAwaiting the result
aggregateaggregate2.1%2.1%2026-10-05 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket2.1%2.1%2026-10-05 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast

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The record