Kalkas

A call on the record · Horse racing

Will Unfortunatecharlie win the 14:30 at Fairyhouse? · 5 Oct 2026

This question has not resolved. The forecast is on the record now; the result and its score appear here after the event, and nothing is filled in before then.

horse:hrs_17391679459 · racing.win.jumps

Not resolved yetAll of this domain’s record

The question

Resolution rule
The runner finishes first in the official result of a GB or IRE jumps race (chase, hurdle, or NH flat); a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
About
horse:hrs_17391679459
Question class
racing.win.jumps
Closes at
2026-10-05 13:30 UTC (Europe/Dublin)
Resolved from
racing-results

The forecast

Probability of yes
0.7%
Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
Market at the time
0.7%
Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
Source
Market-implied probability
Known at
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Recorded at
2026-10-05 08:20 UTC
Forecaster
aggregate @ log_odds_pool
SHA-256 digest
sha256:da90e990b8fc58f9b4a02c2d98541c800811f30d7bf514a33810b572fc1fa649
Provenance
Committed by the engine before the event

The result

No result yet.

Every forecast recorded on this question

Every forecast recorded on this question
ForecasterKindProbabilityMarketKnown atStanding
aggregateaggregate0.7%0.7%2026-10-05 08:00 UTCAwaiting the result
racing-marketmarket0.7%0.7%2026-10-05 08:00 UTCAwaiting the result
aggregateaggregate0.7%0.7%2026-10-05 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket0.7%0.7%2026-10-05 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast

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Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.

The record