Kalkas

A call on the record · Horse racing

Will Sa Llagosta win the 15:16 at Leicester? · 6 Oct 2026

The deadline has passed and the ledger holds no resolution yet. Nothing is scored until one is recorded.

horse:hrs_17393332614 · racing.win

Awaiting the resultAll of this domain’s record

The question

Resolution rule
The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
About
horse:hrs_17393332614
Question class
racing.win
Closes at
2026-10-06 14:16 UTC (Europe/London)
Resolved from
racing-results

The forecast

Probability of yes
7.3%
Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
Market at the time
7.3%
Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
Source
Market-implied probability
Known at
2026-10-06 14:00 UTC
Recorded at
2026-10-06 14:07 UTC
Forecaster
aggregate @ log_odds_pool
SHA-256 digest
sha256:ea1866e4d3e57a246bd5dbf48ea20d1956bc193a0a4f4e0273a61a10dd3eefcb
Provenance
Committed by the engine before the event

The result

No result yet.

Every forecast recorded on this question

Every forecast recorded on this question
ForecasterKindProbabilityMarketKnown atStanding
aggregateaggregate7.3%7.3%2026-10-06 14:00 UTCAwaiting the result
racing-marketmarket7.3%7.3%2026-10-06 14:00 UTCAwaiting the result
aggregateaggregate5.9%5.9%2026-10-06 10:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket5.9%5.9%2026-10-06 10:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
aggregateaggregate7.2%7.2%2026-10-06 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket7.2%7.2%2026-10-06 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
aggregateaggregate7.0%7.0%2026-10-06 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket7.0%7.0%2026-10-06 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast

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Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.

The record