A call on the record · Horse racing
Will Germanic win the 15:51 at Leicester? · 6 Oct 2026
The deadline has passed and the ledger holds no resolution yet. Nothing is scored until one is recorded.
horse:hrs_37342053 · racing.win
Awaiting the resultAll of this domain’s record
The question
- Resolution rule
- The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
- About
- horse:hrs_37342053
- Question class
- racing.win
- Closes at
- 2026-10-06 14:51 UTC (Europe/London)
- Resolved from
- racing-results
The forecast
- Probability of yes
- 9.5%
- Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
- Market at the time
- 9.5%
- Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
- Source
- Market-implied probability
- Known at
- 2026-10-06 14:00 UTC
- Recorded at
- 2026-10-06 14:07 UTC
- Forecaster
- aggregate @ log_odds_pool
- SHA-256 digest
- sha256:523e58cdd160cdaac380e5ff304a8be84c50db5e0c9864c40477bd7f9c5df415
- Provenance
- Committed by the engine before the event
The result
No result yet.
Every forecast recorded on this question
| Forecaster | Kind | Probability | Market | Known at | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aggregate | aggregate | 9.5% | 9.5% | 2026-10-06 14:00 UTC | Awaiting the result |
| racing-market | market | 9.5% | 9.5% | 2026-10-06 14:00 UTC | Awaiting the result |
| aggregate | aggregate | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2026-10-06 10:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2026-10-06 10:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| aggregate | aggregate | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2026-10-06 08:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2026-10-06 08:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| aggregate | aggregate | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2026-10-06 07:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2026-10-06 07:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
Embed this call
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<iframe src="https://kalkas.ai/record/racing/racing.win:rac_32300014851:hrs_37342053/embed" width="420" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Kalkas call"></iframe>Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.
The record