Kalkas

A call on the record · Horse racing

Will Parlando win the 16:26 at Leicester? · 6 Oct 2026

The deadline has passed and the ledger holds no resolution yet. Nothing is scored until one is recorded.

horse:hrs_26961459 · racing.win

Awaiting the resultAll of this domain’s record

The question

Resolution rule
The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
About
horse:hrs_26961459
Question class
racing.win
Closes at
2026-10-06 15:26 UTC (Europe/London)
Resolved from
racing-results

The forecast

Probability of yes
21.5%
Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
Market at the time
21.5%
Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
Source
Market-implied probability
Known at
2026-10-06 14:00 UTC
Recorded at
2026-10-06 14:07 UTC
Forecaster
aggregate @ log_odds_pool
SHA-256 digest
sha256:203f237a2ef779613771ac7a347e0906b0f584f91c112f4bda7e5940e31b7d5d
Provenance
Committed by the engine before the event

The result

No result yet.

Every forecast recorded on this question

Every forecast recorded on this question
ForecasterKindProbabilityMarketKnown atStanding
aggregateaggregate21.5%21.5%2026-10-06 14:00 UTCAwaiting the result
racing-marketmarket21.5%21.5%2026-10-06 14:00 UTCAwaiting the result
aggregateaggregate20.4%20.4%2026-10-06 10:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket20.4%20.4%2026-10-06 10:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
aggregateaggregate21.0%21.0%2026-10-06 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket21.0%21.0%2026-10-06 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
aggregateaggregate23.8%23.8%2026-10-06 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket23.8%23.8%2026-10-06 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast

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Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.

The record