Kalkas

A call on the record · Horse racing

Will Jesus Green win the 15:45 at Navan? · 7 Oct 2026

This question has not resolved. The forecast is on the record now; the result and its score appear here after the event, and nothing is filled in before then.

horse:hrs_66304791 · racing.win

Not resolved yetAll of this domain’s record

The question

Resolution rule
The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
About
horse:hrs_66304791
Question class
racing.win
Closes at
2026-10-07 14:45 UTC (Europe/Dublin)
Resolved from
racing-results

The forecast

Probability of yes
71.1%
Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
Market at the time
71.1%
Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
Source
Market-implied probability
Known at
2026-10-07 10:00 UTC
Recorded at
2026-10-07 10:00 UTC
Forecaster
aggregate @ log_odds_pool
SHA-256 digest
sha256:f730a748a0d7e019e52139e340f7118961897c8744f692402b7731c0bb7b2c2b
Provenance
Committed by the engine before the event

The result

No result yet.

Every forecast recorded on this question

Every forecast recorded on this question
ForecasterKindProbabilityMarketKnown atStanding
aggregateaggregate71.1%71.1%2026-10-07 10:00 UTCAwaiting the result
racing-marketmarket71.1%71.1%2026-10-07 10:00 UTCAwaiting the result
aggregateaggregate65.8%65.8%2026-10-07 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket65.8%65.8%2026-10-07 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
aggregateaggregate63.8%63.8%2026-10-07 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket63.8%63.8%2026-10-07 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast

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Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.

The record