Kalkas

A call on the record · Horse racing

Will Mr Perth win the 17:18 at Navan? · 7 Oct 2026

This question has not resolved. The forecast is on the record now; the result and its score appear here after the event, and nothing is filled in before then.

horse:hrs_63069685 · racing.win

Not resolved yetAll of this domain’s record

The question

Resolution rule
The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
About
horse:hrs_63069685
Question class
racing.win
Closes at
2026-10-07 16:18 UTC (Europe/Dublin)
Resolved from
racing-results

The forecast

Probability of yes
10.9%
Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
Market at the time
10.9%
Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
Source
Market-implied probability
Known at
2026-10-07 10:00 UTC
Recorded at
2026-10-07 10:00 UTC
Forecaster
aggregate @ log_odds_pool
SHA-256 digest
sha256:89e4dae7e7170ae777c711ef2677544dcdecbed8359525df7beabd6dba980d58
Provenance
Committed by the engine before the event

The result

No result yet.

Every forecast recorded on this question

Every forecast recorded on this question
ForecasterKindProbabilityMarketKnown atStanding
aggregateaggregate10.9%10.9%2026-10-07 10:00 UTCAwaiting the result
racing-marketmarket10.9%10.9%2026-10-07 10:00 UTCAwaiting the result
aggregateaggregate11.8%11.8%2026-10-07 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket11.8%11.8%2026-10-07 08:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
aggregateaggregate11.7%11.7%2026-10-07 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast
racing-marketmarket11.7%11.7%2026-10-07 07:00 UTCReplaced by a later forecast

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Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.

The record