A call on the record · Horse racing
Will Grozni win the 15:33 at Carlisle? · 1 Nov 2026
This question has not resolved. The forecast is on the record now; the result and its score appear here after the event, and nothing is filled in before then.
horse:hrs_21512316 · racing.win.jumps
Not resolved yetAll of this domain’s record
The question
- Resolution rule
- The runner finishes first in the official result of a GB or IRE jumps race (chase, hurdle, or NH flat); a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
- About
- horse:hrs_21512316
- Question class
- racing.win.jumps
- Closes at
- 2026-11-01 15:33 UTC (Europe/London)
- Resolved from
- racing-results
The forecast
- Probability of yes
- 3.9%
- Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
- Market at the time
- 3.9%
- Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
- Source
- Market-implied probability
- Known at
- 2026-11-01 08:00 UTC
- Recorded at
- 2026-11-01 08:13 UTC
- Forecaster
- aggregate @ log_odds_pool
- SHA-256 digest
- sha256:4d60357f813d217d0c3c6b9de11d699cba520597c5e79d641262e632d73caa86
- Provenance
- Committed by the engine before the event
The result
No result yet.
Every forecast recorded on this question
| Forecaster | Kind | Probability | Market | Known at | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aggregate | aggregate | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2026-11-01 08:00 UTC | Awaiting the result |
| racing-market | market | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2026-11-01 08:00 UTC | Awaiting the result |
| aggregate | aggregate | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
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<iframe src="https://kalkas.ai/record/racing/racing.win:rac_32303046256:hrs_21512316/embed" width="420" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Kalkas call"></iframe>Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.
The record