A call on the record · Horse racing
Will Sarafina Mshairi win the 20:30 at Wolverhampton (AW)? · 2 Nov 2026
The deadline has passed and the ledger holds no resolution yet. Nothing is scored until one is recorded.
horse:hrs_39962979 · racing.win
Awaiting the resultAll of this domain’s record
The question
- Resolution rule
- The runner finishes first in the official result; a non-runner or a void race resolves void.
- About
- horse:hrs_39962979
- Question class
- racing.win
- Closes at
- 2026-11-02 20:30 UTC (Europe/London)
- Resolved from
- racing-results
The forecast
- Probability of yes
- 2.9%
- Market-implied probability · aggregate · aggregate
- Market at the time
- 2.9%
- Market-implied probability recorded with the forecast.
- Source
- Market-implied probability
- Known at
- 2026-11-02 18:00 UTC
- Recorded at
- 2026-11-02 18:05 UTC
- Forecaster
- aggregate @ log_odds_pool
- SHA-256 digest
- sha256:2c915e876ee0f2b407f1029bd4f336eeceb83c4982d7beb8cbd381a9ebae2a37
- Provenance
- Committed by the engine before the event
The result
No result yet.
Every forecast recorded on this question
| Forecaster | Kind | Probability | Market | Known at | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| aggregate | aggregate | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2026-11-02 18:00 UTC | Awaiting the result |
| racing-market | market | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2026-11-02 18:00 UTC | Awaiting the result |
| aggregate | aggregate | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2026-11-02 14:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2026-11-02 14:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| aggregate | aggregate | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2026-11-02 10:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2026-11-02 10:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| aggregate | aggregate | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2026-11-02 08:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2026-11-02 08:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| aggregate | aggregate | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
| racing-market | market | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC | Replaced by a later forecast |
Embed this call
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<iframe src="https://kalkas.ai/record/racing/racing.win:rac_32303210901:hrs_39962979/embed" width="420" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Kalkas call"></iframe>Informational only, not advice and not an invitation to trade or bet. Everything runs on paper. Past results do not predict future ones.
The record